Part of BMI’s Industry Survey & Forecasts
Series
Published by:
Business Monitor International
Publication date: March 2009
Business Monitor
International
Mermaid House,
2 Puddle Dock,
London,
EC4V 3DS, UK
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467
Email: subs@businessmonitor.com
Web: http://www.businessmonitor.com
CONTENTS
Executive
Summary.............................................5
Vietnam Road
Haulage SWOT...........................................................................
6
Vietnam
Political
SWOT...................................... ..............................................
7
Vietnam
Economics SWOT
................................................................................
7
Vietnam
Business Environment SWOT...............................................................
8
Business
Environment
Ratings...........................9
Table: Asia
Pacific Freight Business Environment
Ratings...............................
9
Freight
Industry Ranking..................................................................................
10
Vietnam
Logistics Performance Index
(LPI)....................................................
10
Economics –
Long-Term Risk............................................................................
11
Politics –
Long-Term Risk
................................................................................
11
Freight
Transport Growth
................................................................................
11
Transport
Infrastructure
Growth......................................................................
12
Regulatory
Environment....................................................................................
12
Competitive
Environment...................................................................................
12
Transport
Intensity
Index...................................................................................
12
Political
Risk
Summary......................................................................................
12
Economic
Risk
Summary...................................................................................
13
Business
Environment Risk Summary
...............................................................
13
Legal
Code/Corruption......................................................................................
13
Red
Tape..........................................................................................................
14
Labour
Force..................................................................................................
14
Industry
Trends And Developments
.................16
Road ..................................................................................................................
17
Rail......................................................................................................................18
Air........................................................................................................................19
Sea......................................................................................................................
19
Industry
Forecast
Scenario...................................22
Quarterly
Oil Products Price
Outlook.................................................................
22
Table: Oil
Product Price, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl)...................................................
25
Macroeconomic
Outlook......................................................................................
25
Table:
Vietnam – Economic Activity,
2006-2013.................................................
27
Transport
Outlook
.................................................................................................
28
Table:
Transport And Communications Data And Forecasts, 2005-2013
............29
Table:
Freight Carried, Domestic,
2005-2013.......................................................
30
Trade
Environment..................................................31
Trade
Agreements.....................................................................................................
31
Tariffs/Non-Tariff
Barriers........................................................................................31
Table: Value
Of Imports By Category, 2005-2013
(US$mn)...................................
32
Table: Value
Of Exports By Category, 2005-2013 (US$mn)...................................
33
Table: Top
Export Destinations, 2001-2006
(US$mn)...........................................
34
Table:
Export Trade, 2002-2006 (% growth
y-o-y).................................................35
Table:
Import Trade, 2002-2005 (% growth
y-o-y).................................................
35
Table: Top
Import Sources, 2001-2006 (US$mn) ...................................................
36
Market
Overview.......................................................37
Multi-Modal.................................................................................................................
37
Competitive
Landscape: Multi-Modal....................................................................37
Vinatrans
..............................................................................................................
38
Road...........................................................................................................................39
Infrastructure.........................................................................................................
39
Competitive
Landscape: Road ..............................................................................
40
Rail
.............................................................................................................................
41
Infrastructure..........................................................................................................
41
Competitive
Landscape:
Rail..................................................................................41
Air.................................................................................................................................
42
Infrastructure..........................................................................................................
42
Competitive
Landscape: Aviation ......................................................................... 42
Vietnam
Airlines
.................................................................................................... 44
Water............................................................................................................................
46
Infrastructure..........................................................................................................
46
Competitive
Landscape:
Maritime..........................................................................
47
Vietnam
National Shipping Lines
(Vinalines)..........................................................
50
Maersk
Sealand .......................................................................................................52
Competitive
Landscape:
Pipelines................................................................................
54
Country
Snapshot: Vietnam Demographic
Data........................................................................55
Section 1:
Population..............................................................................................55
Table:
Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030...........................................................
55
Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
..........................................................
56
Section 2:
Education And
Healthcare......................................................................56
Table:
Education, 2002-2005
.................................................................................
56
Table: Vital
Statistics,
2005-2030...........................................................................56
Section 3:
Labour Market And Spending Power.....................................................
57
Table:
Employment Indicators,
1999-2004.............................................................
57
Table:
Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)...................................................57
BMI
Forecast
Modelling.........................................58
How We
Generate Our Industry
Forecasts...........................................................
58
Transport
Industry.................................................................................................
58 Sources
.....................................................................................................................................59
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